After writing the post about the possible collision of the two stars in a very tight binary orbit, I decided to do a little more research to try and come up to date about the state of things. Among a few other things, I found an article which indicates that the 2022 estimate may be in error because of a typographical error made when using a set of tabulated data from as long ago as 1999. The result is that all the calculations were sufficiently off that they no longer think 2022 is a good estimate.
https://www.news.com.au/technology/science/space/how-just-one-typo-had-us-expecting-a-supernova-in-2022/news-story/72bddd7b344b64a8b66fc61bb7936d94
Oh well, es la vida.
Who knows, maybe it can still happen, maybe in the next few years.... but only God really knows.
